
Articles - Economy
The ivory tower or defending the impossible
The harsh reality is that the outlook is bleak in all Europe.
Consequences of COOL
COOL story can be summarized as “Be careful what you wish for, you might actually get it”.
Settled in the uncertainty or it is not the time for optimism
Although the European exports have behaved well so far this year (the Russian embargo has been compensated), this is not enough: the weather has not favoured the BBQs in Germany and it is still too early for the summer pork consumption in the south European coasts.
Good News and Big Changes Coming in the US
Big news in US as Seaboard and Triumph Foods announce plans to build and operate a large-scale packing plant in Sioux City. One of the things which this move signals is the further coordination of the production sector with consumer demand.
May: Everything is new under the sun
April has gone by with a surprising change in the trend of several European markets.

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We awaken to hope every morning but reality tucks us in at night
Everyone in the United States is waiting for the return of the seasonal pattern and the prospect of prices breaking out of this extended period of flat-lining which has gone on for almost two months now.
Looking forward to the barbecues
Guillem Burset comments on various current affairs of the European pig market: stocks and private storage, merger of Tican and Danish Crown, prospects on the price recovery…
Punxsutawney Pork!
Unfortunately, it looks like the ground hog of pork price forecasts saw a long shadow when it emerged in late February and the tiny bubble of hope that the already late-to-end seasonal lows of winter were over was put on hold.
Germany or the strongest guy in the class
The prices recover both in northern and southern Europe.
Expand at the rate of expected increases in net exports or red ink will flow
Export markets may not be as robust as forecast by USDA due to very slow economic growth and actual recession in many countries. Add to that the massive value increase of the dollar versus its chief competitive currencies as the cost of oil plummeted…
Encouraging rebound
In February, the price should improve, slightly and with difficulty, but it should ameliorate.


Economic black clouds
We think that administrations must take urgent actions regarding the crisis in the pig sector.
Something besides your waistline is expanding during the Holidays in the USA
USA breeding herd expansion seems inevitable.
Prices below production costs
In our sector we know well that if Germany sneezes the whole of Europe catches a cold. Last Wednesday the prices dropped by €0.04 in Germany…
Pork industry metric used for over 100 years flashes a danger sign!
Just like the emergent molten lava from Mount Kilauea, so an historical metric of the US hog industry, having lay dormant for many years, is creeping ever so slowly over its profit destroying "trigger" level. That metric is the hog corn ratio.
Firm ground at last?
Europe as a whole has a flat depressive profile with the prices in the minimum levels of the last three years.
Oxygen, Fuel and a Spark—Looks like fire ahead for US producers
All the ingredients required for a pig industry expansion: Oxygen (PEDv becoming manageable) + fuel (high profits and lower feed ingredient prices ahead) + a spark (intentions to farrow 3-4 % more sows).

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The most...
The Spanish price falls with a parachute
September will be a bear market month. We still have to see the pace of the drops.
The breeding herd, the source of all pork profits: more piglets or heavier piglets?
It' is not as simple as the larger pigs have better survivability...
Resisting is winning
During July Germany has made a strong challenge that is difficult to process for the whole of Europe.
Understanding the sow farm in terms of finisher profitability
We hear a lot of talk about optimizing profitability in grow-finish through reducing standard deviation of marketed weights and aiming that tighter weight group at the profit optimal average weight at the time of marketing. It’s a bit like playing darts, you want the darts to be in tight group but it is also necessary to be near the bull’s eye on the target.
June: the producer's margin improves adequately
The low supply sets the pace of the price of pigs, but there are many more factors at stake: multiproduct commercial flow from Denmark to US; Russia has just presented a proposal for the opening of exports from some countries of the EU, etc.
