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This change is consistent with the seasonal variability seen since 2014, but we must highlight that the number of annual cases in Europe is showing a constant increase: 334 in 2014; 1,715 in 2015; 2,466 in 2016; and 3,208 in 2017 (as of November 29th).
Increase in the notifications in the last weeks
This increase in all Europe is especially marked in the Lithuanian wild fauna with respect to previous years, and it has been confirmed with the data of the last three weeks (46, 88 and 94 cases, respectively, in weeks 45, 46 and 47).
The Czech Republic, after a period of ten weeks with a low number of weekly confirmed cases, confirmed 62 cases in the district of Zlín in the last four weeks, despite the animal health measures implemented.
Number of ASF cases in the European wild fauna from January 1st, 2014, to November 29th, 2017 (Source: ADNS)
Expansion towards the west in Poland
Seven cases that affected wild boars were notified in the regions of Warsaw and Legionowo between November 17th and 24th. The shortest distances between one of the cases near Warsaw and the cases or outbreaks in the west border area are 94 and 99 km, respectively. The information in the next few weeks will allow to know if it is a leap due to human activity or the natural spreading of the disease.
Thursday, November 30th, 2017/ ESA Platform/ France.
https://www.plateforme-esa.fr
