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Brazilian farmers are expected to harvest 322.3 million tons (Mt) of cereals in the 2024/25 season. The result is equivalent to a growth of 8.2% (+24.5 Mt) compared to the previous harvest. The new estimate from the National Supply Company (CONAB) maintains its forecast for record production if the result is confirmed. The good performance is due to the favorable weather during the growth of the first crop. In addition, the total planted area is estimated at 81.4 million hectares and is expected to increase by 1.8% compared to the 2023/24 season.
The main product grown in the country, soybeans, is expected to see a production of 166.33 Mt, 18.61 Mt above the total produced in the previous harvest. After a year of poor harvests, the current season tends to recover average crop productivity. An average yield of 3,509 kg/ha is expected for this season, compared to 3,201 kg/ha in 2023/24. Oilseed planting occurred in a concentrated manner, mainly from the end of October. Harvesting should therefore also take place for the most part starting the end of January. Weather conditions, in the period analyzed, have been favoring the harvest so far, but CONAB is still alert to the effects of weather behavior, until the end of the harvest.
With the second largest production volume, corn is expected to reach a total crop of 119.6 Mt in 2024/25, 3.3% more than the previous season. For the first crop, a 6.4% reduction in planted area is expected. On the other hand, average productivity is expected to increase by 4.8% to 6,062 kg/ha. Frequent rains interspersed with sunny periods favored crop development in the main producing regions. As a result, a harvest of 22.53 Mt is expected. Planting of the second and third harvests of the grain will begin this month and April, respectively.
In the case of rice, planting for the 2024/25 season exceeds 90% of the total area expected for this crop in the main producing areas of the country, estimated at 1.75 million hectares, representing a growth of 8.5%. In addition to the larger planted area, CONAB also expects a recovery in average crop productivity in the country, from 6,584 to 6,869 kg/ha. This combination of factors leads to an expected 13.2% increase in production, estimated at 11.99 Mt.
January 14, 2025/ CONAB/ Brazil.
https://www.conab.gov.br
