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Brazil: Largest historical grain crop expected in 2022/2023

According to the estimate, this result is mainly due to the better performance of second-crop corn crops observed in the field last month.

20 July 2023
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Brazilian grain production is expected to reach 317.6 million tons in the 2022/2023 harvest, an increase of 16.5% or 44.9 million tons from the 2021/22 harvest, consolidating previous forecasts as the largest ever produced in the country.

According to the estimate, this result is also 0.6% higher than that released in June, mainly due to the better performance of second-crop corn observed in the field this past month, and the growth in the planted area for wheat, combined with the good weather conditions that have been occurring.

According to the bulletin, soybeans should reach a record production, estimated at 154.6 million tons, 23.1% or 29 million tons above that of the last season. For corn, the forecast is 127.8 million tons, including the three crops, 12.9% or 14.6 million tons above that grown in 2021/22.

The increase in Brazilian production aligned with higher international demand is expected to raise the volume of corn exports in 2023. With projected heated foreign demand, it is estimated that 48 million tons of corn will leave the country. Domestic stocks are also expected to increase by 27.6% at the end of this crop year, reaching 10.3 million tons.

Regarding soybeans, the export estimate remains at 95.64 million tons, 21.5% more compared to the previous harvest. In this survey, Conab adjusted the numbers for oilseed crushing, from 52.29 million tons to 52.82 million tons, due to the increase in biodiesel production. Thus, the final stocks previously estimated at 7.51 million tons went to 7.43 million tons.

July 13, 2023/ CONAB/ Brazil.
https://www.conab.gov.br

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