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Canada – Hog production forecast down

Hog production for 2011 is forecast at 27.4 million head, down 2.1 percent compared to the estimated 28 million head in 2010 which was down 4.4 percent compared to 2009. Slaughter is forecast at 20.8 million hogs in 2011, down 2.1 percent from 2010. A lower pig crop in 2010 has resulted in lower slaughter numbers. Continued lower hog exports translated into more domestic slaughter, estimated at 21.25 million head in 2010. Mirroring reduced slaughter in Canada, pork production is forecast at 1.725 MMT for 2011, or a further decline of 1.4 percent from the 1.75 MMT estimated for 2010.
23 September 2010
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Hog production for 2011 is forecast at 27.4 million head, down 2.1 percent compared to the estimated 28 million head in 2010 which was down 4.4 percent compared to 2009. Slaughter is forecast at 20.8 million hogs in 2011, down 2.1 percent from 2010. A lower pig crop in 2010 has resulted in lower slaughter numbers. Continued lower hog exports translated into more domestic slaughter, estimated at 21.25 million head in 2010. Mirroring reduced slaughter in Canada, pork production is forecast at 1.725 MMT for 2011, or a further decline of 1.4 percent from the 1.75 MMT estimated for 2010.


An increase in 2011 Canadian hog exports by 2.6 percent compared to 2010 is forecast, up to 5.95 million head due to low U.S inventories and strong demand. The decline in hog exports that began in 2009 continued into 2010 with 5.8 million head estimated for 2010. Reduced meat production and increased demand for exports is expected to result in further increases in 2011 imports to a forecast 230 TMT, up from 200 TMT estimated for 2010. Pork exports are forecast to increase in 2011 by 0.9 percent, to 1.175 MMT compared to the 1.165 MMT estimated for 2010.

http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Recent%20GAIN%20Publications/Livestock%20and%20Products%20Annual_Ottawa_Canada_09-10-2010.pdf

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