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Pork imports declined dramatically (-31%) in 2024 due to weak market demand. Pork imports are expected to be similar in 2025 (1,300 thousand MT CWE). China mainly imports pork from Spain, Brazil, Denmark, the Netherlands, Canada, and the United States.
The Chinese government started an anti-dumping investigation into imports of relevant pork and pig byproducts originating from the European Union in 2024. Chinese importers expressed concerns and some importers plan to diversify their sourcing.
On March 4, 2025, the Ministry of Finance State Council Tariff Commission (SCTC) announced that China will impose retaliatory tariffs on U.S. agricultural products. A 10-percent tariff will be applied to U.S. pork. The additional retaliatory tariff will create extra import costs that could impact pork imports. However, the potential impacts of recent retaliatory tariffs are not included in USDA's forecast, as they are not in effect at the time of publication.
Marginal year-over-year growth is expected in pork exports in 2025 (100 thousand MT CWE). China’s pork export volume has been stable since 2020. China is expected to continue to export to Hong Kong and Japan, its two major markets, at stable volumes.
March 7, 2025/ USDA/ China.
https://apps.fas.usda.gov
