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Current ASF situation in the European Union

The disease is increasing in wild boar and seems to be more controlled in domestic pigs, although confirmed outbreaks have picked up this last quarter.

7 October 2020
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Data published by the European Union's Animal Disease Notification System (ADNS) for the first nine months of this year show a total of 8,567 reported cases in wild boar and 862 outbreaks in domestic pigs. The disease is on the rise in wild boar, where the numbers have exceeded the 2019 totals. It seems to be more controlled in domestic animals, where the number of outbreaks is falling following the peaks of 2018 and 2019, although cases have notably increased during this last quarter (346 outbreaks as of June 2020 vs. 862 at the end of September).

Nº outbreaks Pigs/Wild boar
2014
Pigs/Wild boar
2015
Pigs/Wild boars
2016
Pigs/Wild boar
2017
Pigs/Wild boar
2018
Pigs/Wild boar
2019
Pigs/Wild boar
Jan-Sep 2020
Poland 2/24 1/52 20/80 81/741 109/2443 48/2468 97/3268
Latvia 32/148 10/752 3/864 8/947 10/685 1/369 3/213
Lithuania 6/45 13/111 19/303 30/1.328 51/1446 19/464 3/170
Estonia 0/41 18/723 6/1052 3/637 0/231 0/80 0/45
Czech Rep. 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/202 0/28 0/0 eradicated
Romania 0/0 0/0 0/0 2/0 1164/182 1724/683 723/672
Hungary 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/138 0/1598 0/3533
Bulgaria 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/5 44/165 18/425
Belgium 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/163 0/482 0/3
Slovakia 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 11/27 17/171
Greece 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/0
Germany 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/46*
TOTAL 80/334 58/1686 71/2432 141/3948 1344/5362 1848/6396 862/8567

*as of October 2, 2020

Wild boar

In relation to the cases in wild boar, the most noteworthy information is the first appearance of the disease in Germany. Since the outbreak on September 9, 46 cases have already been confirmed, all of them limited to Brandenburg, specifically to the districts of Spree-Neiße (9), Oder-Spree (36) and Märkisch-Oderland (1).

The disease appears unstoppable in Hungary where the number of cases (3,533) is already double the total of 2019 (1,598). During this last quarter there have been more than 500 new outbreaks confirmed. Hungary is the country with the most cases in the EU, followed by Poland.

Evolution of ASF cases in wild boars since 2014.
Evolution of ASF cases in wild boars since 2014.
Map of ASF cases in wild boar reported in 2018, 2019 and 2020 (as of September, 2020) (Source: MAPA based on RASVE-ADNS data)

Map of ASF cases in wild boar reported in 2018, 2019 and 2020 (as of September, 2020) (Source: MAPA based on RASVE-ADNS data)

Domestic pigs

During the last 3 months the outbreaks have doubled, reaching a total of 862 compared to the total number of confirmed outbreaks between January and the end of June (346).

Latvia and Slovakia, which had remained without any outbreaks during the first half of the year, have now confirmed 3 and 17 outbreaks respectively.

In three months, Romania has confirmed more than 400 new outbreaks in domestic pigs, and Poland has gone from 6 confirmed outbreaks during the first six months of this year to 97 at present. One of the outbreaks was detected near Kalisz, in the southern part of the Mazovian Voivodship, a region where no previous cases had been confirmed and where there was no need for zoning.

Evolution of ASF outbreaks in domestic pigs since 2014.
Evolution of ASF outbreaks in domestic pigs since 2014.

Mapa de focos declarados en cerdos domésticos en 2018, 2019 y 2020 (hasta 28 septiembre2020) (Fuente: MAPA a partir de datos de RASVE-ADNS)

October 6, 2020/ 333 Staff with information from ADNS and MAPA.

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