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EU: Decrease in cereal production anticipated

The autumn edition of the short-term outlook for EU agricultural markets in 2022 provides insight into arable crop production and trade.

6 October 2022
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Usable cereal production is projected at 270.9 million t for 2022/23, a 5.1% decrease over the 5-year average (and a 7.8% decrease year-on-year). This is in no small part due to the drought conditions that affected maize in particular (-19.3% on the 5-year average).

Soft wheat production is forecast at 127.0 million t (-2.4%), durum wheat at 7.4 million t (-4.9%), maize at 55.5 million t (-23.7%), barley at 51.5 million t (-1.0%), triticale at 11.3 million t (-2.1%), oats at 7.6 million t (+1.9%), and rye at 7.5 million t (-4.0%).

The poor harvest, combined with high cereal prices and an anticipated decrease in meat production, is expected to reduce the use of cereals for feed by 2.3% year-on-year. Food use is expected to increase slightly (+0.7% year-on-year). However, trade of cereals could grow by 12.3% compared to the previous marketing year (including +6.5% of exports and +24.7% of imports).

Strong EU oilseed production (especially of rapeseed) is expected in 2022/23 (32.2 million t, +8.5% above the 5-year average).

October 6, 2022/ European Commission/ European Union.
https://agriculture.ec.europa.eu

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