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Forecasts for the global pork industry (2024 - 2033)

According to the latest estimates from the OECD - FAO Agricultural Outlook 2024 - 2033, Asia and Latin America will be the regions that will grow the most in the next 10 years, while Europe is expected to see decreases in its key indicators.

Projected pork production, imports, exports, and consumption for 2033 - variations with respect to the 2021 - 2023 average. Prepared by 333 Latin America with data from OECD - FAO Agricultural Outlook 2024 - 2033.

Projected pork production, imports, exports, and consumption for 2033 - variations with respect to the 2021 - 2023 average. Prepared by 333 Latin America with data from OECD - FAO Agricultural Outlook 2024 - 2033.

2 August 2024
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Global forecasts

  • World pork production is projected to reach 131.1 million tons (Mt) in 2033, a growth of 7.6% over the 2021-2023 estimated average.
  • As for international trade, imports and exports are expected to weaken globally over the next 10 years, falling by 5.8% and 6.4%, respectively.
  • Apparent consumption would be 131 Mt in 2033, reflecting a 7.7% growth compared to the 2021-2023 average (121.7 Mt).

Regional growth

  • In terms of pork production, the highest growth in 2033 will be observed in Asia (4.8%), Latin America (3.8%), Africa (3.1%), and North America (2.6%), while Europe is expected to decrease by 3.1%.
Regional projections for pork production, imports, exports, and consumption for 2033 - variations with respect to the 2021 - 2023 average. Prepared by 333 Latin America with data from OECD - FAO Agricultural Outlook 2024 - 2033.

Regional projections for pork production, imports, exports, and consumption for 2033 - variations with respect to the 2021 - 2023 average. Prepared by 333 Latin America with data from OECD - FAO Agricultural Outlook 2024 - 2033.

  • Imports are expected to fall sharply in Asia (-18.7%) and Europe (-15%), while they are expected to grow in Latin America, Africa, and Oceania by 9.3%, 93.8%, and 28.6%, respectively.
  • Exports from Europe and Latin America are expected to fall by 14.7% and 12.6%, respectively, in the period under analysis, while North America, with 4.83 Mt, is expected to grow by 1.6% in 2033.
  • Latin America (20.2 %), Asia (8.5 %), and North America (8.2 %) would be the most prominent regions in terms of apparent consumption growth rates, while for Europe, consumption is expected to fall by 2.4 % by 2033.

July 31, 2024/ 333 Latin America with data from OECD – FAO Agricultural Outlook 2024-2033.
https://www.oecd.org/

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