Polish swine inventories decreased an estimated four percent in 2019 due to the continuing expansion of African swine fever (ASF) and growing feed costs stemming from the 2019 drought. Swine inventories will continue to decline in 2020 because of reduced feed supplies during the first half of the year. Swine production remains under pressure from ASF, which continues to spread in Poland.
Pork production in 2019 is estimated to be 2.0 million metric tons (MMT), a seven-percent decrease from 2018. Pork production is expected to decrease in 2020 by additional four percent, because of reduced swine inventories and lower slaughter.
In November 2019, average farm-gate swine prices amounted to PLN 5.88 ($1.55) per kilogram, a 39-percent increase over November 2018. Farm-gate hog prices are expected to continue to grow during the first quarter of 2020 due to higher domestic and international pork demand.
January 30, 2020/ USDA/ U.S.A.
https://apps.fas.usda.gov/