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FAS/Moscow anticipates swine inventories to reach 19.7 million head by the end of 2015, a 1.5 percent increase in inventories and a slightly smaller increase than was realized in 2014.
Swine
The Russian swine herd has being growing over the last decade, and the trend is expected to continue in 2015, but at a slower pace as a result of the current economic conditions. The Russian industry continues to consolidate production at large-scale agricultural establishments. Agricultural establishments accounted for 80 percent of the total swine herd inventory in 2014, a three percent increase over 2013 levels, and further consolidations are expected this year. Swine inventories at backyard farms will most likely decline due to increased feed/production costs and continued efforts to control African swine fever (ASF). Total 2014 swine inventory estimates have been revised pursuant to official year-end 2014 statistics published by Rosstat.
Pork
FAS/Moscow forecasts Russian pork production will reach 2.55 MMT in 2015, a 1.5 percent increase over revised 2014 levels. According to the National Union of Pork Producers (NUPP), the top twenty Russian pork producing companies accounted for nearly 60 percent of total pork production in 2014, and NUPP forecasts this share to reach as high as 80 percent by 2020.
Consumption
Despite the continued expectation of year-on-year growth in Russian pork production, consumption is expected to fall in 2015 as imports are anticipated to be significantly lower than they were in 2014, and as consumers are expected to continue to increase their consumption of less expensive poultry meat.
Thursday March 12, 2015/ FAS-USDA/ United States.
http://gain.fas.usda.gov
